Race day on this page is Oct 4, 2026.
MarathonForecasts live
Twin Cities Marathon
Sunday, October 4, 2026Minneapolis to Saint Paul, Minnesota, USA
Goal time
3:15:00
Adjusted time (preview)
About 122 m of climbing and 122 m of descent. Rolling.
Almost all within 2%No grades over 6%Three climbs
Impacts
Based on the forecast, 1 day out.
Elevation
Heat
Wind
Total Impact
Race Pass: personalised finish time, adjusted splits, and your race-day pacing plan.
Race Day Forecast
The live outlook for this start.
12°C
Feels like 12°C
Race start: 9°C → 14°C
Forecast: clear, with moderate winds
Race Day Pacing
Personalized pacing with weather-adjusted strategy tailored to your fitness level.
Race Pass turns this into your personalised split plan, paced for this course and forecast
Live forecast, route, and elevation
Cloud Cover
6%
Wind
14.2km/h
Humidity
74%
WBGT
10.7°C
Race Day Pacing
Personalized pacing with weather-adjusted strategy tailored to your fitness level.
Race Pass turns this into your personalised split plan, paced for this course and forecast
Live forecast, route, and elevation
Race Timeline
Race starts 08:00
07:00
Starts 08:00
9°C
Feels 9°C
0.0 mm
0%
13.1 km/h
gust 24.7
08:00
Starts 08:00
9°C
Feels 9°C
0.0 mm
0%
11.9 km/h
gust 22.1
09:00
13.0 km
11°C
Feels 11°C
0.0 mm
0%
13.9 km/h
gust 24.0
10:00
26.0 km
12°C
Feels 12°C
0.0 mm
0%
13.9 km/h
gust 24.8
11:00
38.9 km
14°C
Feels 14°C
0.0 mm
0%
14.6 km/h
gust 24.3
12:00
Finished
16°C
Feels 16°C
0.0 mm
0%
15.3 km/h
gust 24.7
Conditions over time
4 Oct 2026 · Hover or drag to explore
74% humidityDew 7.7°CWBGT 10.7°C0.0 mm (0%)
12°CFeels 12°C
08:00-11:15
TempDewWBGTRain
14.2 km/h
gust 24.1 km/h
WindGust
Race morning history
Last 10 years, around the 08:00 start hour. Typical early-October air averages 13°C (about 1°C to 23°C in that window). The bands are that history, not a forecast range. Hover or drag to explore.
Race-morning temperature
Most mornings
7-18°C
Almost all
4-21°C
Humidity
73%
Dew
8°C
WBGT
11°C
13°CAverage
08:00-11:18
Almost all (90%)Most mornings (70%)AverageRain
Year pills: green is favorable heat. Amber is moderate. Red is challenging.
Blue is most mornings. Dashed lines are the rare tails. Pink is the average. The bands are historical race mornings, not a forecast range. Blue columns are rain on the right scale. This assumes a 3:18. You can set your own time in the app.
Typical race-morning wind
Where the wind usually came from on race morning, not where it was going.
SE
Most frequent (20%)
Wind speed
0-6 km/h
6-13 km/h
13-21 km/h
21+ km/h
Year pills: green is favorable wind. Amber is moderate. Red is challenging. Colours assume no drafting.
A start that feels cool is not a promise about the second half.
Related races
Same city, region or country, when we can resolve them. World majors also point to each other.
- City of Lakes Half Marathon
- Grandma's Marathon
- Lake Wobegon Trail Marathon
- Med City Marathon
- Xenia Avenue Marathon
View race map for this area.
Pacing and conditions FAQ
Beyond conditions
Conditions are only part of the race-day loss
Pacing mistakes often add several minutes, sometimes more than conditions alone, especially when the course and conditions are not ideal.
What your plan includes
Everything you need to turn this race preview into a usable race-day plan.
Personalized pacing
Effort and pace guidance tuned to this course profile.
Weather-adjusted splits
Split targets that account for heat, wind, and elevation.
Heat adaptation & drafting
Adjust for your heat tolerance and drafting preferences.
Get your personalised race plan for Twin Cities Marathon.
Pacing, splits, and race-day strategy personalised to your fitness and this course.
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