The most recent edition on this page is dated Oct 10, 2026. The next edition date is not locked here yet. Use the historical race-morning weather on this page for planning until the next date is published.
10K
Melbourne 10K
Saturday, October 10, 2026Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
Goal time
40:00
Adjusted time (preview)
40:15–40:30
+15–30s slower
Moderate conditions. Main factor: several factors. Get your personalised finish time and split-by-split pacing plan with Race Pass.
Based on the historical mean for the race window over the last 10 years, ±5 days.
About 59 m of climbing and 54 m of descent. Mostly flat.
85% within 2%No grades over 6%Three climbs
Impacts
Based on the forecast for race day.
Elevation
Low impact
≤1%
Heat
Low impact
≤1%
Wind
Low impact
≤1%
Total Impact
Moderate impact
1–3%
Pace Opportunity
Moderate
ChallengingModerateFavorable
Race Pass: personalised finish time, adjusted splits, and your race-day pacing plan.
Race Day Forecast
The live outlook for this start.
15°C
Feels like 13°C
Race start: 16°C → 15°C
Forecast: partly cloudy, with moderate winds
Race Day Pacing
Personalized pacing with weather-adjusted strategy tailored to your fitness level.
Race Pass turns this into your personalised split plan, paced for this course and forecast
Live forecast, route, and elevation
Cloud Cover
29%
Wind
13.3km/h
Humidity
76%
WBGT
12.4°C
Race Day Pacing
Personalized pacing with weather-adjusted strategy tailored to your fitness level.
Race Pass turns this into your personalised split plan, paced for this course and forecast
Live forecast, route, and elevation
Race Timeline
Race starts 07:00
06:00
Starts 07:00
17°C
Feels 16°C
0.0 mm
0%
13.1 km/h
gust 16.1
07:40
10.0 km
15°C
Feels 13°C
0.0 mm
0%
14.1 km/h
gust 17.1
08:00
Finished
15°C
Feels 12°C
0.0 mm
0%
15.6 km/h
gust 18.6
Conditions over time
10 Oct 2026 · Hover or drag to explore
76% humidityDew 10.9°CWBGT 12.4°C0.0 mm (0%)
15°CFeels 13°C
07:00-07:40
TempDewWBGTRain
13.3 km/h
gust 17.3 km/h
WindGust
Historical weather
7 held editions. Race mornings only, not nearby dates. This is not a forecast.
9°C
3 - 14°C range
Partly cloudy on average
Historical: cold, partly cloudy, with moderate winds
Historical average
7 held editions. Race mornings only, not nearby dates.
2017-2025
Cloud Cover
47%
0 - 100% range
Wind
15km/h
2 - 35 km/h range • prevailing NW
Humidity
80%
52 - 96% range
WBGT
7.8°C
Race morning history
Last 10 years, around the 07:00 start hour. Typical early-October air averages 9°C (about 5°C to 13°C in that window). The bands are that history, not a forecast range. Hover or drag to explore.
Race-morning temperature
Most mornings
6-12°C
Almost all
5-13°C
Humidity
80%
Dew
6°C
WBGT
6°C
9°CAverage
07:00-07:43
Almost all (90%)Most mornings (70%)AverageRain
Year pills: green is favorable heat. Amber is moderate. Red is challenging.
Blue is most mornings. Dashed lines are the rare tails. Pink is the average. The bands are historical race mornings, not a forecast range. Blue columns are rain on the right scale. This assumes a 0:43. You can set your own time in the app.
Typical race-morning wind
Where the wind usually came from on race morning, not where it was going.
NNW
Most frequent (30%)
Wind speed
0-6 km/h
6-13 km/h
13-21 km/h
21+ km/h
Year pills: green is favorable wind. Amber is moderate. Red is challenging. Colours assume no drafting.
A start that feels cool is not a promise about the second half.
Related races
Same city, region or country, when we can resolve them. World majors also point to each other.
- Melbourne Half Marathon
- Melbourne Marathon
- Mother's Day Classic Melbourne Half Marathon
- Run Melbourne Half
- Carman's Fun Run 10K
- Lakeside10 (Albert Park)
- Run Prix 10K
- Ballarat Half Marathon
View race map for this area.
Make sense of the conditions
- Dew point, WBGT and running in the heat
Read the heat and humidity before deciding what pace makes sense.
- When drafting helps your running pace
A group can help, but its pace and the conditions still need to suit you.
- Pacing the climbs and descents
Use the course profile to think about effort, not just splits.
Pacing and conditions FAQ
Beyond conditions
Conditions are only part of the race-day loss
Pacing mistakes often add several minutes, sometimes more than conditions alone, especially when the course and conditions are not ideal.
What your plan includes
Everything you need to turn this race preview into a usable race-day plan.
Personalized pacing
Effort and pace guidance tuned to this course profile.
Weather-adjusted splits
Split targets that account for heat, wind, and elevation.
Heat adaptation & drafting
Adjust for your heat tolerance and drafting preferences.
Get your personalised race plan for Melbourne 10K.
Pacing, splits, and race-day strategy personalised to your fitness and this course.
Want to compare options first? Compare plans