meteopace
meteopace
All Races
HalfForecasts live

Bull City Half Marathon

Sunday, October 18, 2026Durham, North Carolina, USA
Goal time
1:35:00
Adjusted time (preview)

About 278 m of climbing and 281 m of descent. Hilly.

48% within 2%8% over 6%11 climbs

Impacts

Based on the forecast, 3 days out.
Elevation
Heat
Wind
Total Impact

Race Pass: personalised finish time, adjusted splits, and your race-day pacing plan.

Race Day Forecast

The live outlook for this start.

Conditions
8°C

Feels like 8°C

Race start: 6°C → 7°C

Forecast: cold, clear, with moderate winds

Cloud Cover
0%
Wind
15.7km/h
Humidity
45%
WBGT
4.9°C

Race Day Pacing

Personalized pacing with weather-adjusted strategy tailored to your fitness level.

Race Pass turns this into your personalised split plan, paced for this course and forecast

Live forecast, route, and elevation

Race Timeline

Race starts 07:30

07:00

Starts 07:30

6°C

Feels 6°C

0.0 mm

22%

14.1 km/h

gust 43.2

08:00

6.7 km

6°C

Feels 6°C

0.0 mm

22%

14.0 km/h

gust 40.3

09:00

20.0 km

7°C

Feels 7°C

0.0 mm

7%

15.6 km/h

gust 36.0

10:00

Finished

9°C

Feels 9°C

0.0 mm

7%

16.7 km/h

gust 31.1

Conditions over time

18 Oct 2026 · Hover or drag to explore

45% humidityDew -5.1°CWBGT 4.9°C0.0 mm (15%)
8°CFeels 8°C

07:30-09:05

TempDewWBGTRain

15.7 km/h

gust 37.6 km/h

WindGust

Historical weather

Mean of race-window hours across the last 10 years, ±5 days around 18 October. Sticky years still count. This is not a forecast.

cold, clear
10°C

7 - 17°C range

Clear on average

Historical: cold, clear

Historical average

10 years · ±5d around 18 October

2016-2025

Cloud Cover
3%
0 - 25% range
Wind
9km/h
4 - 15 km/h range • prevailing NNW
Humidity
75%
49 - 93% range
WBGT
11.3°C
9.1 - 11.4°C range

Race morning history

Last 10 years, around the 07:30 start hour. Typical mid-October air averages 10°C (about 6°C to 16°C in that window). The bands are that history, not a forecast range. Hover or drag to explore.

Race-morning temperature

  • Most mornings

    8-11°C

  • Almost all

    6-13°C

  • Humidity

    76%

  • Dew

    5°C

  • WBGT

    7°C

9°CAverage

07:30-09:05

Almost all (90%)Most mornings (70%)AverageRain
5°C10°C15°C20°C25°C012 mm/h06:0008:0010:0012:0095th5thStartFinish1:35

Blue is most mornings. Dashed lines are the rare tails. Pink is the average. The bands are historical race mornings, not a forecast range. Blue columns are rain on the right scale. This assumes a 1:35. You can set your own time in the app.

Typical race-morning wind

Where the wind usually came from on race morning, not where it was going.

NNEESESSWWNW

NNW

Most frequent (20%)

Wind speed

0-6 km/h
6-13 km/h
13-21 km/h
21+ km/h
Petal length is how often that direction showed up. The longest petal is the most common one. Darker is stronger, not more often.

A start that feels cool is not a promise about the second half.

Related races

Same city, region or country, when we can resolve them. World majors also point to each other.

View race map for this area.

Make sense of the conditions

Pacing and conditions FAQ

Beyond conditions

Conditions are only part of the race-day loss

Pacing mistakes often add several minutes, sometimes more than conditions alone, especially when the course and conditions are not ideal.

What your plan includes

Everything you need to turn this race preview into a usable race-day plan.

Personalized pacing

Effort and pace guidance tuned to this course profile.

Weather-adjusted splits

Split targets that account for heat, wind, and elevation.

Heat adaptation & drafting

Adjust for your heat tolerance and drafting preferences.

Get your personalised race plan for Bull City Half Marathon.

Pacing, splits, and race-day strategy personalised to your fitness and this course.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Want to compare options first? Compare plans